The Next Commodity Shock May Begin in the Pacific

Forecasts point to a strong El Niño event at the end of 2026, raising fears over food supplies and prices. While we believe these fears are overstated at the global level, El Niño poses a more significant regional risk …

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What India’s Gold Discount Is Really Telling Us

In late June, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) released the Financial Stability Report (FSR). According to the report, as of September 2025, India’s household debt stood at 45.5% of its gross domestic product (GDP). In J…

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Gold Is Moving Back Toward the Pre-Buyback Setup

Spot gold trades at $4,481.29 per troy ounce, down 0.81% on the session after failing at $4,510–$4,515 during Asian hours. The COMEX front-month contract sits at $4,537.00, off $8.30 or 0.18%, having printed $4,550.80 o…

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